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Neil Pryke's avatar

The science aside, it would be poorer for not having very brave crews to fly their aircraft into the maelstrom...Pure observation and recording...not speculation and models..!

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Stevec's avatar

When you read the 3 papers cited for this effect you find it's not even what is claimed in the report -

https://scienceofdoom.substack.com/p/extreme-weather-5-trends-in-intensification

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Stevec's avatar

My notes in that article after summarising the three papers:

The one global paper was over 25 years and didn’t attribute any cause. Another paper was over 30 years for the Atlantic, finding a difference between east and west and attributing change in the east to a natural cause (the AMO), the other paper was over the whole Atlantic over almost 30 years and attributing changes to global warming, while also including the note that global trends in intensity are suspect.

This seems like a sloppy section of the IPCC report. Maybe none of the lead authors were very interested in this idea.

But it does seem that this parameter has changed in some part of the Atlantic.

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